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Forex · News · Forex Forecasts

NEWS / Forex Forecasts

Market’s daily review

19:17 01/18/2006

On Tuesday the American currency continued its strengthening against the basic currencies.

The dollar exchange rate was supported by the US industrial outputs data.

These data have increased the probability of the further increase of FRS rates.

FRS has declared that industrial outputs rose 0.6 % the last month that is above the predicted growth on 0.5 %.

The previous value of the given index has been revised from +0.7 % up to +0.8 %.

Growth of industrial outputs has been observed the third month successively.

 

The capacity utilization in the USA made 80.7 for December.

The previous value has been revised from 80.2 up to 80.3. The indicator is in line with the forecast and is maximal since November, 2000.

 

NY Empire State Index in processing sector decreased even more in January.

The index has fallen up to 20.1 against the revised 26.3in December.

Economists expected reduction of the index up to 21.0 against initial data 28.7 the last month.

 

According to the final data of German Federal Office of Statistics consumer prices were up 0.9 % in December against November indicators, and up 2.1 % than a year ago.

The preliminary data, published on December, 23rd, have shown growth on 0.8 % and annual increase on 2.1 %.

Analysts’ forecasts have not changed against the preliminary expectations.

 

The final value of the harmonized consumer price index in Germany made +2.1 % for a year for December.

The preliminary value of the given index made +2.1 % y/y.

 

The British pound dropped against the basic currencies after the issue of data in the UK testifying to inflation letdown in the country.

Investors are afraid of that a low rate of inflation in the country will make Bank of England to reduce interest rates one more time.

 

The office of national statistics has informed that the consumer price index climbed 2.0 % y/y in December after growth 2.1 % y/y in November that was in line with the forecasts.

The annual indicator CPI reduced the 3-rd month successively after a September maximum of 2.5 %. December value has been minimal since June when CPI came up 2.0 %.

In monthly calculation CPI went up 0.3 % in December that is a little bit below the forecast of growth on 0.4 %.

 

The retail price index in the UK raised 2.2 % y/y in December, that is below growth in November on 2.4 % and the forecast of growth on 2.3 %. December growth was minimal since October, 2002

In monthly calculation the given index grew 0.3 % that is in line with forecasts.

 

Meanwhile, the inflation index "RPI-X" in Great Britain dipped to annual value of 2.0 % in December against 2.3 % the last month.

The annual value has been below the expectations of growth on 2.2 % and became minimal since September, 2004.
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